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CITIC Securities: It is expected that the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of next year. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, the global semiconductor and hardware fundamentals are expected to remain weak from the fourth quarter of 2024 to the first quarter of 2025, and will resume their upward trend from the second quarter of 2025. Similar to 2024, GenAI is expected to continue to be the core driving force, but industrial opportunities are expected to continue to spread around NVIDIA. At the same time, we should also pay attention to the recovery progress of IT expenditure of European and American enterprises after the US election, the pull of end-side AI and windows10 EOL on consumer electronics and bulk storage chips, and the recovery process of automobile and industrial sectors at the bottom of the cycle. Tariff and trade policies, US macro and inflation data, and GenAI technology progress are expected to continue to be the core influencing variables of the industry. At the sub-sector level, our preference order is: advanced process, AI network (Ethernet equipment and high-speed interface), AI computing chip (ASIC, commercial GPU), AI server, enterprise IT equipment (network equipment, high-end storage, general server), consumer electronics (PC, mobile phone), analog chip, semiconductor equipment, bulk storage chip, mature process and so on."Shanghai housing subsidy is 300,000 yuan" and "down payment is 20,000 yuan to buy 1.8 million hardcover existing houses"? Rumor has come. Recently, there have been a number of housing advertisements on the short video platform. The agent who released the housing claimed that he could receive the "housing subsidy" when buying a house in Shanghai, with the amount ranging from 200,000 yuan to 300,000 yuan. An intermediary declared: "Shanghai Songjiang New Town has a total price of 760,000 yuan and a housing subsidy of 250,000 yuan." "After receiving the subsidy, you can buy a 78-square-meter house with a down payment of 50,000 yuan." There is also an intermediary who claims: "The minimum payment can be only 20,000 yuan, and you can buy a finely decorated existing house with a total price of 1.8 million yuan." The reporter consulted a number of intermediaries and learned that the so-called "purchase subsidies" appearing in short videos are not government subsidies, but gimmicks. When the house-watchers consult subsidies on the spot, different intermediaries will have different calibers. Usually, there are three routines-one is to raise the price first and then lower the price. Second, the so-called "subsidy" is actually that developers lend money to buyers to pay down payment, and buyers have to pay interest. Third, the commission returned by the intermediary to the buyers is packaged as a "subsidy". (Shanghai rumor platform)The 22nd meeting of the expert working group of the Shanghai Defense Ministers' Association was held in Beijing. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released news on the recent military-related issues. Wu Qian: On December 12th, China's Ministry of National Defense held the 22nd meeting of the expert working group of the meeting of defense ministers of SCO member states in Beijing. More than 30 representatives from SCO member states and the Secretariat attended the meeting, and all parties had an in-depth exchange of views on strengthening pragmatic cooperation in the field of defense and security and promoting the construction of cooperation mechanisms.

Ministry of Finance of Korea: If the volatility is excessively intensified, more market stabilization measures will be taken.CITIC Jiantou: With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. According to CITIC Jiantou Research Report, since September, heavy meetings have continuously released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, and policies such as lowering the standard, reducing interest rates, lowering the mortgage interest rate, supporting local governments to resolve government affairs risks, issuing special government bonds to supplement core Tier 1 capital, using various tools to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and increasing support and guarantee for key groups have been released one after another. Focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) Combined with the catering channels that are recovering continuously, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations. At the same time, the current market price of molasses has further dropped from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity. 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.Yuejiang: It is planned to sell about 40 million H shares globally through the IPO of Hong Kong stocks. It is expected to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 23, and Yuejiang announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 13 that the company plans to sell about 40 million H shares globally, with Hong Kong public offering accounting for 5% and international offering accounting for 95%. The offer price will not be higher than HK$ 20.80 per offering share, and it is currently expected to be not lower than HK$ 18.80 per offering share, with 200 shares per lot. It is expected that the shares will start trading on the Stock Exchange at 9: 00 am on Monday, December 23, 2024, Hong Kong time.

The yen once fell to 152.74 against the US dollar, and the trend fluctuated after the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term survey. After the release of the Bank of Japan's short-term survey, the yen initially rose slightly, but then weakened. The yen once fell 0.1% against the US dollar to 152.74. The 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose 4 points to 142.49.Pfizer announced an increase in its quarterly dividend, and American pharmaceutical giant Pfizer said on Thursday that it would increase its quarterly dividend by 2.4%, from 42 cents to 43 cents per share. The new dividend is equivalent to $1.72 per year, which means that the annual yield is about 6.8%. Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, said that the dividend increase highlighted the company's strong financial performance, execution and commitment to return capital to shareholders.The central bank is in charge of the Financial Times: A more active and promising macro policy is to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. The front page of the Central Bank's Financial Times commented that the Central Economic Work Conference clearly stated that it is necessary to "implement a more active and promising macro policy". A more active macro policy is to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. The change of monetary policy is always closely related to a country's macroeconomic situation. Since the monetary policy was set as "stable" in 2011, the monetary policy stance has changed to "moderately loose" again after many years. This decision not only marks the flexible response and active adjustment of China's economic policy in the face of the current complex economic situation at home and abroad, but also reflects the management's profound insight and precise policy on market demand, downward pressure on the economy and deflation risk.